He Yanli, inspector of the Industrial Coordinating Department of the Ministry of Industry, pointed out that in the speech at the Textile Power Forum, he pointed out the necessity and importance of maintaining the scale of rational development of the textile industry in view of the excessive development of certain sectors of the textile industry in China. She pointed out:
During the "12th Five-Year Plan" period, China's textile industry will enter a new historical stage, that is, from the emphasis on quantitative expansion to focus on quality, technology, variety, and efficiency. From the perspective of the current scale of China's textile industry, from 2005 to 2010, the world's average annual growth rate of textile fiber production is 2.5%; China's fiber processing volume from 26.9 million tons to 41.3 million tons, with an average annual growth rate of 9%. The average growth rate of China's textile fiber processing volume is 3.6 times of the average growth rate of the world's textile fiber production, accounting for more than 50% of the global fiber output, of which chemical fiber production capacity reached 30.897 million tons, accounting for more than 60% of the world's chemical fiber. From the perspective of the current development scale of China's textile industry, the entire society has a total of 120 million ring-spinning spindles, accounting for nearly 50% of the global cotton production capacity. The share of China's textile and apparel exports in the world rose from 25% in 2005 to 33%. From the above data, we can see that China’s textile industry is large enough, and I am afraid that problems will occur. Is it possible for China's textile industry to further expand its scale?
From the perspective of supply, natural fiber resources such as cotton in recent years are constrained by land, and there is no possibility of significant growth in the short term. In recent years, China’s cotton imports have continued to climb, and more than 2 million tons of cotton are imported each year. Synthetic fiber accounts for nearly 3/4 of the total fiber processing capacity in China, and crude oil for synthetic fiber raw materials has an external dependency of more than 50%, and the external dependence of chemical fiber monomers is as high as 40%, and some varieties are more than 60%. At the same time, as the country’s requirements for energy conservation and emission reduction continue to increase, the binding force of the labor force, land energy, and the environment is increasing, and the rising costs of raw materials, resources, labor, and other factors have long-term characteristics.
From the perspective of demand, the current domestic demand consumption is still a short board relative to China's total economic output, indicating the huge room for the future growth of the domestic demand market. Therefore, the sustainable development of China's future economic growth will depend more on the great potential of the domestic market. However, China is a large country with a population of 1.3 billion. The per capita GDP is more than 4,000 US dollars, which is far below the level of tens of thousands of U.S. dollars of the developed countries. Per capita consumption is still relatively low, especially in the early stage of industrialization in China. There will still be a dual urban-rural economic structure, and the spending power of 728 million farmers in China will not increase rapidly in a short period of time. Therefore, the expansion of domestic demand is a gradual process.
From the perspective of the international environment, the duration of the international financial crisis is long and complex. History is rare. At present, the recovery of the world economy has been arduous and the pressure of continued downward pressure has increased. The political situation in West Asia and North Africa has been turbulent. The economic growth momentum of the world has weakened. Although technological innovation and the development of emerging industries have bred new breakthroughs, new economic growth points have not yet been formed. The European sovereign debt crisis has spread from the marginal countries in the euro area to the core countries. The unemployment rate remains high and the international market demand has been shrinking. In the current global economic slowdown, countries around the world are introducing various stimulus policies to develop the domestic economy and raise employment levels. China's textile industry cannot completely occupy the living space of other countries.
Therefore, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, China’s textile industry can no longer blindly expand its scale. It must make great efforts to actively change the mode of economic development, make efforts to strengthen itself, strive to improve its independent innovation capability, and actively adjust the existing textile industry. Structure, increase mergers and reorganizations, eliminate backwardness, increase industrial concentration, and develop new application requirements, so that China will take a substantive step in the transition from a textile giant to a textile powerhouse.
During the "12th Five-Year Plan" period, China's textile industry will enter a new historical stage, that is, from the emphasis on quantitative expansion to focus on quality, technology, variety, and efficiency. From the perspective of the current scale of China's textile industry, from 2005 to 2010, the world's average annual growth rate of textile fiber production is 2.5%; China's fiber processing volume from 26.9 million tons to 41.3 million tons, with an average annual growth rate of 9%. The average growth rate of China's textile fiber processing volume is 3.6 times of the average growth rate of the world's textile fiber production, accounting for more than 50% of the global fiber output, of which chemical fiber production capacity reached 30.897 million tons, accounting for more than 60% of the world's chemical fiber. From the perspective of the current development scale of China's textile industry, the entire society has a total of 120 million ring-spinning spindles, accounting for nearly 50% of the global cotton production capacity. The share of China's textile and apparel exports in the world rose from 25% in 2005 to 33%. From the above data, we can see that China’s textile industry is large enough, and I am afraid that problems will occur. Is it possible for China's textile industry to further expand its scale?
From the perspective of supply, natural fiber resources such as cotton in recent years are constrained by land, and there is no possibility of significant growth in the short term. In recent years, China’s cotton imports have continued to climb, and more than 2 million tons of cotton are imported each year. Synthetic fiber accounts for nearly 3/4 of the total fiber processing capacity in China, and crude oil for synthetic fiber raw materials has an external dependency of more than 50%, and the external dependence of chemical fiber monomers is as high as 40%, and some varieties are more than 60%. At the same time, as the country’s requirements for energy conservation and emission reduction continue to increase, the binding force of the labor force, land energy, and the environment is increasing, and the rising costs of raw materials, resources, labor, and other factors have long-term characteristics.
From the perspective of demand, the current domestic demand consumption is still a short board relative to China's total economic output, indicating the huge room for the future growth of the domestic demand market. Therefore, the sustainable development of China's future economic growth will depend more on the great potential of the domestic market. However, China is a large country with a population of 1.3 billion. The per capita GDP is more than 4,000 US dollars, which is far below the level of tens of thousands of U.S. dollars of the developed countries. Per capita consumption is still relatively low, especially in the early stage of industrialization in China. There will still be a dual urban-rural economic structure, and the spending power of 728 million farmers in China will not increase rapidly in a short period of time. Therefore, the expansion of domestic demand is a gradual process.
From the perspective of the international environment, the duration of the international financial crisis is long and complex. History is rare. At present, the recovery of the world economy has been arduous and the pressure of continued downward pressure has increased. The political situation in West Asia and North Africa has been turbulent. The economic growth momentum of the world has weakened. Although technological innovation and the development of emerging industries have bred new breakthroughs, new economic growth points have not yet been formed. The European sovereign debt crisis has spread from the marginal countries in the euro area to the core countries. The unemployment rate remains high and the international market demand has been shrinking. In the current global economic slowdown, countries around the world are introducing various stimulus policies to develop the domestic economy and raise employment levels. China's textile industry cannot completely occupy the living space of other countries.
Therefore, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, China’s textile industry can no longer blindly expand its scale. It must make great efforts to actively change the mode of economic development, make efforts to strengthen itself, strive to improve its independent innovation capability, and actively adjust the existing textile industry. Structure, increase mergers and reorganizations, eliminate backwardness, increase industrial concentration, and develop new application requirements, so that China will take a substantive step in the transition from a textile giant to a textile powerhouse.
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