After the Spring Festival, the polyester staple fiber market ushered in a good start, the 1.4D direct spinning polyester market price once rose to 12,700 yuan / ton, the downstream yarn prices have also followed up, 32 pure polyester yarn offer rose to 17,300 yuan / ton about. However, after a brief “buoyant hikeâ€, the market sentiment has changed and the downturn in transactions has been surprising.
Since the second half of last year, the demand in Europe and the United States has continued to slump, and orders for export-oriented textile companies have generally declined. Orders in January and February of this year were even scarce. Coupled with the shortage of workers, the recovery of the downstream market lags behind the same period of previous years. The procurement cycle has also been Repeatedly pushed back, polyester short demand did not start. At the same time, the post-holiday polyester and short-duty industry saw a rapid increase in production load, but the downstream orders were insufficient. Most of the inventory was pre-digested. Even if purchases were also used with purchases, there was no large-scale centralized purchase action, resulting in a shortage of polyester production and sales. The rapid rise, the sudden increase in pressure, and price promotions have also become frustrating. In the whole of February, the polyester and polyester market showed a continuous downward trend. Even if the central bank lowered the deposit reserve ratio for the first time this year, the market reaction was also very cold. By the end of February, the focus of the 1.4D direct spinning, polyester, and polyester markets fell to 11,650 yuan/ton. About the cumulative decline of more than 1,000 yuan.
From the perspective of the entire polyester industry chain, strong and weak, two levels of differentiation, not only polyester short, other polyester products in the middle of the link are also in two states of gas, painful.
Affected by factors such as demand and geopolitics, the international oil price trend is strong. Relatively tight supply, coupled with high oil price transmission, led to PX prices operating at a high level. PTA is under the dual pressure of high cost and low demand, and is at the edge of loss. The settlement price in February and the combined price in March all showed the strong intention of PTA manufacturers to guarantee the price and pass the cost downwards, but the downstream companies hope to borrow it. The price of raw materials was suppressed to ease the cost pressures of their own.
In March, polyester short market is expected to usher in the traditional spring sales season. However, from the current market situation, the situation is not optimistic. The author learned from the market that the current inventory pressure of yarn manufacturers is relatively small, while the traders still have many yarns purchased at the end of 2011. If the end market rebounds, the first to digest is the yarn inventory of traders. Therefore, under the circumstance of unclear market prospects, the overall operation of the yarn manufacturers is cautious. For the purchase of raw materials, the concept of continuous purchase will continue to be used. It also does not want to accumulate yarn inventory. The drop in pure polyester yarn from February is larger than that of polyester. You can see this too.
In the latter part of the period, although there are more advantages in the upstream, the current market is dominated by the downstream. Before the end-user demand improved, the increase in cost only replaced the stability of the PTA price. Calculated based on the spot prices of PTA and MEG, the current polyester short-term is already at the edge of profit and loss, the existing large amount of inventory has been a loss, the price continues to decline sharply polyester and short manufacturers do not want to see. For Polyester and Short Manufacturers, sales of inventory is a top priority. Only when inventory pressure is reduced can the price be ended. At present, individual manufacturers have started to reduce production. The author believes that if the contradiction between the supply and demand of the polyester and the short-term industries can not be eased in early March, the situation of concentrated production restrictions may reappear.
In addition, the 2012/2013 new cotton collection and storage price has been announced, the price is much higher than the 2011/2012 closing price. Despite the support of the state's purchasing and storage policies, the difference between the domestic and foreign cotton prices has limited the rebound of cotton prices and has had little impact on the polyester staple market. The polyester and short-term market situation in the latter period is still severe, but it should not be overly pessimistic. The market outlook needs to pay close attention to the recovery of downstream demand.
Since the second half of last year, the demand in Europe and the United States has continued to slump, and orders for export-oriented textile companies have generally declined. Orders in January and February of this year were even scarce. Coupled with the shortage of workers, the recovery of the downstream market lags behind the same period of previous years. The procurement cycle has also been Repeatedly pushed back, polyester short demand did not start. At the same time, the post-holiday polyester and short-duty industry saw a rapid increase in production load, but the downstream orders were insufficient. Most of the inventory was pre-digested. Even if purchases were also used with purchases, there was no large-scale centralized purchase action, resulting in a shortage of polyester production and sales. The rapid rise, the sudden increase in pressure, and price promotions have also become frustrating. In the whole of February, the polyester and polyester market showed a continuous downward trend. Even if the central bank lowered the deposit reserve ratio for the first time this year, the market reaction was also very cold. By the end of February, the focus of the 1.4D direct spinning, polyester, and polyester markets fell to 11,650 yuan/ton. About the cumulative decline of more than 1,000 yuan.
From the perspective of the entire polyester industry chain, strong and weak, two levels of differentiation, not only polyester short, other polyester products in the middle of the link are also in two states of gas, painful.
Affected by factors such as demand and geopolitics, the international oil price trend is strong. Relatively tight supply, coupled with high oil price transmission, led to PX prices operating at a high level. PTA is under the dual pressure of high cost and low demand, and is at the edge of loss. The settlement price in February and the combined price in March all showed the strong intention of PTA manufacturers to guarantee the price and pass the cost downwards, but the downstream companies hope to borrow it. The price of raw materials was suppressed to ease the cost pressures of their own.
In March, polyester short market is expected to usher in the traditional spring sales season. However, from the current market situation, the situation is not optimistic. The author learned from the market that the current inventory pressure of yarn manufacturers is relatively small, while the traders still have many yarns purchased at the end of 2011. If the end market rebounds, the first to digest is the yarn inventory of traders. Therefore, under the circumstance of unclear market prospects, the overall operation of the yarn manufacturers is cautious. For the purchase of raw materials, the concept of continuous purchase will continue to be used. It also does not want to accumulate yarn inventory. The drop in pure polyester yarn from February is larger than that of polyester. You can see this too.
In the latter part of the period, although there are more advantages in the upstream, the current market is dominated by the downstream. Before the end-user demand improved, the increase in cost only replaced the stability of the PTA price. Calculated based on the spot prices of PTA and MEG, the current polyester short-term is already at the edge of profit and loss, the existing large amount of inventory has been a loss, the price continues to decline sharply polyester and short manufacturers do not want to see. For Polyester and Short Manufacturers, sales of inventory is a top priority. Only when inventory pressure is reduced can the price be ended. At present, individual manufacturers have started to reduce production. The author believes that if the contradiction between the supply and demand of the polyester and the short-term industries can not be eased in early March, the situation of concentrated production restrictions may reappear.
In addition, the 2012/2013 new cotton collection and storage price has been announced, the price is much higher than the 2011/2012 closing price. Despite the support of the state's purchasing and storage policies, the difference between the domestic and foreign cotton prices has limited the rebound of cotton prices and has had little impact on the polyester staple market. The polyester and short-term market situation in the latter period is still severe, but it should not be overly pessimistic. The market outlook needs to pay close attention to the recovery of downstream demand.
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